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ability of not coalescing is 1 - — each generation.

The exponential approximation 1 - e 2N gives the cumulative probability of a pair of lineages coalescing at or before generation t. This probability is symbolized as P(TC < t) where TC is the generation of coalescence and t is the maximum time to coalescence being considered. Let's use an example of the probability of coalescence at or before four generations have passed in a population of 2N = 10,000. The

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